Category: Tech

  • Crypto Developers Are Disrespecting Users, And It’s Costing the Industry Billions

    Crypto Developers Are Disrespecting Users, And It’s Costing the Industry Billions

    In the fast-paced world of technology, misinterpretations can reveal deeper truths. Take a viral Reddit post from late 2024: a SaaS founder lamented losing a loyal customer who had paid $300 monthly for 18 months, only to cancel and build an internal alternative. The founder dismissed it as irrational – after all, the in-house version was “worse” and costlier to maintain. Yet the tech community exploded, framing it as proof that AI tools like ChatGPT were democratizing software creation, threatening jobs and entire business models (source)

    But here’s the twist: the post never mentioned AI. Not a single word about prompts, code generation, or weekend builds. Instead, it highlighted a fundamental disconnect, customers ditching products when they feel like burdensome rent rather than valuable tools. This Rorschach test of a story exposed how builders often project their fears onto user behavior, ignoring the real signals of dissatisfaction. The customer’s decision wasn’t about technological prowess; it was about reclaiming control and aligning costs with perceived value. In an era where subscription fatigue is rampant, users are increasingly questioning whether ongoing payments justify the hassle, especially when alternatives – even imperfect ones – offer ownership and customization.

    This detachment isn’t unique to SaaS. In the crypto and DeFi space, it’s amplified, contributing to rampant user churn, security lapses, and billions in losses. As Web3 aims for mainstream adoption in 2026, developers must confront how their insular approaches are alienating users and what it means for the industry’s survival. The crypto sector, valued at over $3 trillion at its peak in 2025, saw user frustration manifest in ways that traditional tech could only dream of: instantaneous fund drains, abandoned wallets, and a revolving door of speculative participants who enter during bull runs and exit en masse during corrections.

    The Misreading That Hit a Nerve

    Developers pride themselves on precision: parsing code, debugging logs, anticipating edge cases. Yet thousands shared and debated this post as an AI harbinger, overlooking its core message about ownership economics. Why? It tapped into insecurities. With tech layoffs surpassing 245,000 globally in 2025, and AI accelerating output while compressing timelines, many saw existential threats everywhere (source). Studies show AI can slow experienced developers by 19% on complex tasks, yet perceptions of speedup persist, fueling hype over reality (source).

    Echoes in Crypto: The DeFi Detachment Problem

    This builder-user gap is even starker in DeFi, where complex protocols often prioritize technical elegance over usability. Jargon like “impermanent loss,” multi-step wallet approvals, and opaque smart contracts deter newcomers, leading to what experts call the “Web3 onboarding crisis” (source). Seed phrases – those 12-24 word strings – remain a major barrier, scaring off billions of potential users who fear irreversible losses (source).

    Retention stats paint a grim picture: DeFi platforms see Day 30 retention as low as 65% for young users, with overall active wallets dropping despite market highs (source). Many protocols suffer from “developer-first” design, ignoring pain points like high gas fees or confusing interfaces. A 2025 report highlighted how DeFi UX “sucks” due to delays in confirmations and error messages that read like code dumps (source).

    Worse, this disrespect manifests in outright exploitation. Rug pulls – where developers abandon projects after draining liquidity – exploded in scale in 2025, with losses nearing $6 billion across just seven major incidents, one accounting for 92% of the total (source). Hacks and vulnerabilities cost another $2.3 billion, eroding trust (source). Unlike SaaS, where churn is measurable at 4.9% annually for B2B (source), DeFi’s decentralized nature masks these metrics, but the result is the same: users flee to centralized alternatives or exit crypto altogether.

    To illustrate, take the case of prominent DeFi platforms in 2025. Protocols like Aave and Uniswap saw TVL fluctuations tied to market sentiment, but user complaints centered on interface complexity. Newcomers often lose funds to slippage or failed transactions, with little recourse. This leads to a vicious cycle: low retention stifles network effects, reducing liquidity and increasing volatility. Moreover, the emphasis on “decentralization at all costs” ignores practical needs, such as intuitive mobile interfaces or seamless fiat on-ramps. As a result, while institutional players poured billions into tokenized assets, retail adoption lagged, with only 5% global crypto ownership by year’s end.

    The End of Insulated Building

    For years, tech’s growth-at-all-costs era shielded developers from accountability. From 2015 to 2022, easy funding meant shipping unused features without consequence. But with 127,000 U.S. tech layoffs in 2025 alone (source: note: global figure is 245,953, U.S. subset estimated), and AI shifting value to commercial acumen over pure coding, that luxury is gone. In crypto, post-FTX regulations and market maturation demand the same: builders who engage users directly.

    Successful projects like Kaia (the Klaytn-Line merger) are tackling this by simplifying onboarding, but challenges persist (source). Morgan Stanley predicts AI will create more developer jobs by enabling complex apps, but only for those who prioritize strategy and user needs (source). Young developers, facing a 20% employment drop (source), must adapt or risk obsolescence.

    In DeFi, this means moving beyond code-centric development. Projects like those integrating social logins or AI-assisted tutorials show promise, but adoption is slow. Developers should draw from traditional UX principles: A/B testing, user journeys, and iterative feedback. Ignoring these leads to “ghost protocols” – technically sound but user-empty.

    Bridging the Gap: Steps Forward for Crypto Builders

    To thrive, DeFi developers should treat user contact as core, not optional. Implement feedback loops via DAOs, user testing, and analytics. Simplify UX with account abstraction and social logins. Monitor churn signals – wallet dormancy, transaction drops – and address them proactively. For example, protocols could offer “trial modes” with simulated funds to build confidence before real commitments.

    Education is key: Tutorials integrated into apps, rather than external docs, can reduce drop-offs. Collaborate with designers early, not as an afterthought. Finally, transparency builds trust – regular audits, clear roadmaps, and responsive support can turn detractors into advocates.

    The Reddit story wasn’t about AI doomsday; it was a mirror reflecting detachment’s costs. In crypto, ignoring users isn’t just disrespectful – it’s existential. As 2026 approaches, builders who listen will build lasting protocols. Those who don’t? They’ll join the churn statistics.

    For a deeper dive into the original Reddit saga and its lessons for DeFi, check our analysis: “40,000 Developers Misread a Churn Story. And That’s the Real Warning.”

    Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

    What is a rug pull in crypto, and how can I avoid it?

    A rug pull occurs when developers promote a project, attract investments, then abandon it, draining liquidity and causing token values to plummet. In 2025, these scams cost nearly $6 billion. To avoid them, check for audited code, locked liquidity, and team doxxing. Use tools like RugDoc or TokenSniffer for analysis (source).

    Why is DeFi onboarding so difficult?

    Onboarding involves wallets, seed phrases, gas fees, and KYC in some cases, creating friction. Only 42% of new wallets remain active after six months. Solutions include account abstraction, which hides complexities (source).

    How does AI affect developer jobs in crypto?

    AI tools can automate routine coding, but studies show they slow complex tasks by 19%. Overall, AI is expected to create more jobs by enabling advanced apps, per Morgan Stanley (source).

    What are typical churn rates in SaaS vs. DeFi?

    SaaS B2B churn averages 4.9% annually, while DeFi Day 30 retention can be 65% for young users. DeFi’s higher churn stems from UX issues and volatility (source).

    How can developers improve user respect in DeFi?

    Prioritize UX testing, clear communication, and ethical practices. Engage communities via DAOs and feedback channels to build trust and reduce churn.

    Is crypto adoption improving despite these issues?

    Yes, unique DeFi users hit 27 million monthly in 2025, but retention lags. Projects like Kaia focus on simplifying access to drive growth (source).

    A deeper breakdown of the original Reddit story — and what it reveals about developer culture — is available here:

    The bigger point is simpler.

    This wasn’t really an AI story. It was a mirror. And a lot of builders didn’t like what it showed.

  • Microsoft 2025 Happy Shareholders Angry Customers

    Microsoft 2025 Happy Shareholders Angry Customers

    The Halo Year: A Narrative of Unstoppable Triumph

    In the spring of 2025, Satya Nadella strode onto the Build stage in Seattle, the room electric with anticipation. “We are the company shipping AI at scale,” he declared, and the applause rolled like thunder. It was the culmination of a year that seemed, on the surface, flawless. Forbes named Microsoft the World’s Most Admired Company for the tenth time. Barron’s splashed “The AI Juggernaut” across its cover. The stock hovered near $480, analysts on CNBC calling it “unassailable.” Nadella was everywhere—podcasts, panels, the cover of Fortune—positioned as the steady, thoughtful steward guiding humanity into an AI-powered future.

    Fiscal 2025 delivered the numbers to match. Revenue reached $281 billion, up 15%. Azure grew 33%, the Intelligent Cloud segment alone generating billions in operating income. Over 70% of Fortune 500 companies were said to be using Copilot. The Work Trend Index painted pictures of productivity soaring, employees reclaiming hours lost to drudgery. Microsoft had threaded the needle: aggressive AI investment without the stumbles of rivals. Apple grappled with Vision Pro skepticism; Google faced antitrust fires. Microsoft? It was the adult in the shielding room.

    But in the fine print of earnings calls, a different story whispered. CFO Amy Hood, precise as always, noted in October that capex would “increase sequentially,” with FY26 growth potentially higher than FY25’s $62 billion. Demand was accelerating, she said, and Microsoft was building to meet it. Analysts nodded—AI required datacenters, GPUs, power. No one dwelled on the deceleration: Azure growth down from 51% two years prior. Or on the margins dipping under AI weight. The halo held.

    The year had been a PR masterclass. Nadella’s memos to employees spoke of “disciplined cost phase” even as profits soared. The OpenAI partnership was hailed as visionary. Copilot demos dazzled. And the stock climbed, buoyed by a market hungry for AI winners. Yet beneath the glow, the bills were mounting. The AI dream required billions in datacenters, power contracts, chips. And the returns? Still emerging.

    The Squeeze Montage: Four Moves in Nine Months

    Patterns emerge slowly, then all at once. Between July and December 2025, Microsoft executed four pricing maneuvers across its most loyal constituencies. Each was framed as “alignment” or “value.” Each landed quietly. Together, they formed a montage of extraction.

    1. Developers: GitHub self-hosted runners pricing backlash November 16: GitHub announces a $0.002 per-minute charge for self-hosted Actions runners—compute on users’ own hardware. The rationale: subsidizing infrastructure for all. The reaction: immediate fury. #GitHubGreed trended with 140k posts. Petitions surged past 50k signatures. December 17: postponed indefinitely. A reversal, yes—but the message lingered. Developers, already funding their own clouds, saw it as a tax on independence. The attempt exposed the blueprint: when capex bills hit, squeeze the locked-in base.
    2. Coders: IntelliCode discontinued 2025 December 12: VS Code 1.107 ships with a buried note—IntelliCode individual tier deprecated. For years, 60 million developers enjoyed free, local AI completions. Now: GitHub Copilot only, $10/month with limits. The email was clinical: “Aligning product investment with customer value.” Hacker News threads exploded—28k upvotes on “60M devs screwed.” Solo developers and open-source contributors began migrating to alternatives like Tabnine or Codeium. A free tool, euthanized to feed a subscription.
    3. Office workers: Microsoft 365 price hike 2026 December 4: Third hike in four years, effective July 2026—up to 16.7% on E5. Justification: over 1,100 new features, including Copilot integrations. But Microsoft’s own Work Trend Index buried the truth: Copilot active on just 1.8% of eligible seats. IT departments whispered about pilots stalling, trials of Google Workspace accelerating. And quietly, Skype consumer shut down in May—once a potential Slack killer, now a cost cut.
    4. Gamers: Game Pass Ultimate $30, Halo on PlayStation October 1: Ultimate jumps to $29.99/month. Phil Spencer tied it to Call of Duty. Then the kicker: Halo remake announced for PlayStation 2026, day-one. The crown jewel, no longer exclusive. Reddit raged—42k upvotes on “rent-seek scam.” Churn estimates spiked 8%. $30 for access, but the value proposition fracturing.

    Four constituencies. Four squeezes. All in 2025. All justified by “AI value” or “infrastructure costs.” The pattern was unmistakable: when growth slows, squeeze the installed base.

    The Money Beneath the Moves

    The numbers told the fuller story. FY25 closed strong—$281 billion revenue, Azure 33%. But deceleration was real: from 51% two years earlier. Capex? $62 billion, guiding higher for FY26 amid “accelerating demand.” Hood warned margins would dip—AI investments biting. Free cash flow flat despite revenue gains.

    Copilot adoption rate 2025: Microsoft boasted 70% Fortune 500 usage. Analysts saw different—attach rates below 2%, far from the $30/seat dream. Pilots abounded; paid seats lagged.

    Layoffs: over 15,000 in 2025—waves in May (6,000), June sprinkles, July (9,000+). Came after record quarters, followed by beats. Nadella: “Weighing heavily on me.” Yet margins expanded. Bloat correction, not transformation.

    The Precedents: When the Pattern Played Out Before

    History doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes.

    IBM, late 1980s–early 1990s: Mainframe king. Hiked maintenance fees aggressively as client-server loomed. Killed cheaper tiers. 1993: 60,000 layoffs in one year. Revenue flatlined for a decade. Stock lost hundreds of billions in today’s dollars.

    BlackBerry, 2010–2013: Enterprise darling. Raised BIS/BES fees as iPhone rose. Axed affordable models. Thousands cut. Growth from 50% to single digits. Stock down 95%.

    Intel, 2018–2024: CPU monopoly. Squeezed OEMs with hikes, shifted tools to subscriptions. 15,000 layoffs in 2024 amid AI pivot. Capex ballooned. Revenue stalled, stock halved.

    Cisco, 2001 and 2011–2016: Network ruler. Raised support prices twice. 14,000 cuts. Growth evaporated.

    Each was admired. Each squeezed. Each faced a cliff.

    The Frog

    In 1869, Friedrich Goltz removed frogs’ brains, raised heat gradually—they stayed until cooked. The myth endures: slow changes go unnoticed.

    Microsoft’s investors sit in warming water. Stock near highs. Analysts “Buy.” But four constituencies just paid more for less. Capex outruns revenue. Copilot lags. Layoffs prove bloat. Precedents warn.

    2026: the year the temperature hits critical. Azure dips below 25%. Copilot misses targets. Churn accelerates.

    The frog notices steam. The question: does it jump?